In case you missed it, I recently spent way too long on this post in which I compiled every longlist in the history of the Women’s Prize. So just in case it wasn’t clear from that alone: I love this prize, a lot. And I have been working on my predictions list probably for the last six months (sadly not an exaggeration). So, here we go!
I’m going to start with a wishlist of sorts – only 8 books – that I will explain in the paragraph down below, then I will move on to my predictions.
Wishlist
My wishlist falls into 2 categories: books I’ve read that I think deserve to make the list, and books I haven’t read, that I’m desperate to read, and I hope to see them on the longlist so I finally have an excuse to read them. Some of these will show up on my predictions list below; some will not.
Have read/adored:
The Fire Starters by Jan Carson
Disappearing Earth by Julia Phillips
The Man Who Saw Everything by Deborah Levy
The Body Lies by Jo Baker
Have yet to read:
Bunny by Mona Awad
Supper Club by Lara Williams
Strange Hotel by Eimear McBride
The Island Child by Molly Aitken
Now let’s move on to the main event.
I told Hannah I would not look at her list until I posted my own, but I cheated and peaked at it and I loved that she included whether the author had been longlisted in the past and whether she personally wanted to see the books longlisted, so I am stealing that format.
Longlist prediction

Trust Exercise by Susan Choi
This National Book Award winner has been incredibly Marmite, which I have to say I’m intrigued by. While I personally know quite a few people who hated it, the widespread literary praise it’s received can’t be ignored, which I think makes it a solid contender.
Has the author been longlisted before? No.
Would I be happy to see it? Honestly, it would not be my first, second, or third choice.

The Confessions of Frannie Langton by Sara Collins
This historical mystery about a maid accused of murder was shortlisted for the Costa First Novel award, and I’ve seen so much other praise for it, especially in the UK. I think it’s a solid contender.
Has the author been longlisted before? No – debut.
Would I be happy to see it? Yes! I’d love to read this.

The Girl with the Louding Voice by Abi Daré
I don’t know too much about this, but I keep seeing it crop up in ‘2020 debuts to look out for’ lists. I think it’s a Nigerian coming of age tale about a young girl advocating for her education – seems very Women’s Prize to me.
Has the author been longlisted before? No – debut.
Would I be happy to see it? Sure!

Girl, Woman, Other by Bernardine Evaristo
This co-Booker winner is a bit of an obvious choice. It’s received so much praise, and I think the general mood about it is indignation that it was not the sole Booker winner. (That also explains my omission of The Testaments from my own predictions – while there are hardly American Dirt levels of ill-will toward it, I do think on the whole people are a bit tired of it, and I have to wonder if Atwood herself may have asked that it not be submitted to the Women’s Prize. She seemed a bit embarrassed by the Booker co-win, honestly.)
Has the author been longlisted before? Yes.
Would I be happy to see it? YES. It is a crime that I haven’t read this book.

The Mirror & the Light by Hilary Mantel
I think it’s fair to assume that this one is going to show up on just about every prize list this year. I haven’t actually read Mantel yet, but I’ve heard so many good things about her Thomas Cromwell trilogy, which The Mirror & The Light will be concluding. Both Wolf Hall and Bring Up the Bodies made the Women’s Prize shortlist in years past, and – notably – both won the Booker. I think this one is a pretty safe prediction.
Has the author been longlisted before? Shortlisted 3 times and longlisted 1 time beyond that.
Would I be happy to see it? It’s inevitable but no. I really, really, really want to read the Wolf Hall trilogy, but I also want to read the entire longlist and the thought of reading a whole trilogy on top of 16 books stresses me out. I should have read Wolf Hall and Bring Up the Bodies this month to prepare.

Strange Hotel by Eimear McBride
I also think this one is a safe prediction, and if it doesn’t make the longlist, I think it will be because the word count fell short. It seems to be borderline, so it’s hard to predict without knowing the exact word count, but I’m going out on a limb and throwing it on here. McBride’s debut A Girl is a Half-formed Thing won, and her sophomore novel The Lesser Bohemians was also longlisted. I’ve heard excellent things about this one too.
Has the author been longlisted before? 1 time winner, 1 time longlister beyond that.
Would I be happy to see it? YES. I am DYING to read this.

The Shadow King by Maaza Mengiste
Another one I don’t know too much about – Italian invasion of Ethiopia, I think? This made its way onto my predictions list when I felt I was lacking those ‘epic length historical fiction’ picks.
Has the author been longlisted before? No.
Would I be happy to see it? Not really.

Long Bright River by Liz Moore
One thing that struck me when I was scrolling through past longlisters was just how many crime novels have been longlisted in the past. I feel like the Women’s Prize has been moving away from mysteries and thrillers in recent years, but the fact that Paula Hawkins is on the judging panel this year gives me an inkling that we might see at least one literary thriller on the list. Long Bright River seems the obvious choice for a lot of reasons – Moore is a versatile author who’s written literary fiction in the past, this novel tackles Serious Issues (the opioid crisis, namely), and it was blurbed by – you guessed it! – Paula Hawkins. It was a great, solid, well-written thriller that I would not mind seeing on the list, even if my personal choice for a thriller would be The Body Lies, if we can just have one.
Has the author been longlisted before? No.
Would I be happy to see it? Sure, I think it’s deserving.

Inland by Téa Obreht
Obreht won the Women’s Prize for her brilliant novel The Tiger’s Wife back in 2011, and her follow-up Inland had been a long time coming. It sounds incredibly different, other than both of them being historical fiction, but Obreht is such a strong writer I would not be surprised to see this on there.
Has the author been longlisted before? Winner!
Would I be happy to see it? Not really. I loved The Tiger’s Wife but the summary of this one does not appeal.

Girl by Edna O’Brien
O’Brien is such a prolific and esteemed author I was a bit shocked to see that she’s only been longlisted once in the past, but I still feel confident that her newest novel, Girl, is going to make the list this year. Set in Nigeria, this follows the girls who are kidnapped by the Boko Haram. It sounds harrowing, but I also think it will spark some conversations about #ownvoices in literary fiction should it get longlisted.
Has the author been longlisted before? Yes.
Would I be happy to see it? Torn. I desperately want to read more Edna O’Brien (I’ve only read one short story, but it was brilliant), but I’m not convinced this is the best place to start for me.

Hamnet by Maggie O’Farrell
Her upcoming novel inspired by Shakespeare and his son is quite a departure for Maggie O’Farrell – I don’t think she’s written historical fiction before? It’s been getting quite a bit of buzz and I would not at all be surprised to see it longlisted.
Has the author been longlisted before? No, surprisingly!
Would I be happy to see it? Yes!!!

Disappearing Earth by Julia Phillips
This literary-mystery hybrid set in a remote Russian peninsula is such a brilliant depiction of a culture and community that is so often neglected by western literary fiction. I think it’s a brilliant depiction of a rural community torn apart by tragedy and also by racism against its indigenous population – I would be delighted to see it longlisted.
Has the author been longlisted before? No – debut.
Would I be happy to see it? YES YES YES.

My Dark Vanessa by Kate Elizabeth Russell
Another literary thriller of sorts, this one explores the long-lasting psychological damage on a young woman by the teacher she had been involved with in high school. This has been on my TBR for so long that I’ll be a little gutted if it doesn’t make the list, but I do intend to read it soon either way.
Has the author been longlisted before? No – debut.
Would I be happy to see it? God yes!

Bina by Anakana Schofield
Requite Canadian pick! I honestly don’t know a whole lot about this other than that people have been raving about it and that it was blurbed by Eimear McBride and Rachel Cusk. Seems like a safe bet.
Has the author been longlisted before? No.
Would I be happy to see it? No strong feelings either way.

Supper Club by Lara Williams
Williams’ sophomore novel is about a secret society of women who meet after dark to feast. I don’t know anything more and I don’t need to. I just desperately want to read this.
Has the author been longlisted before? No.
Would I be happy to see it? Absolutely!

Frankissstein by Jeanette Winterson
Winterson’s novel is a sort of playful retelling of Frankenstein that ticks so many feminist boxes that I will be incredibly surprised if it’s not longlisted.
Has the author been longlisted before? Yes, twice.
Would I be happy to see it? It wouldn’t be my top choice for the Booker crossover (team Levy!!!), but I did enjoy it, so sure.
There you have it. If you’ve done your own Women’s Prize longlist predictions, please link me! Otherwise, comment and let me know what you expect to see on the list!
Other longlist predictions on my radar: